Obama Surging In Polls [UPDATE: Sorta Kinda]

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

New Gallup data.

He’s not only surged ahead nationally this month (see graph below), but among all subgroups.  Including Hispanics — the conventional wisdom as recent as two weeks ago was that Hillary had locked up the hispanic vote.  Not so anymore.  They split right down the middle.

He’s pulled ahead among middle-aged and women too, also a Clinton stronghold.  In fact, the only demographic where Clinton still holds a commanding lead are the over-55, and the high-school-or less.

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UPDATE:  Well, shit.  Gallup has an even newer survey showing a bounceback by Hillary…

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Really, it’s still too close to call.