Who Is Winning?

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

It’s really interesting not paying attention to the political news for several days, and then paying attention.

When I last looked, sometime late last week, the Hillary juggernaut was in full steam.  The uphill climb was Obama’s to make.

But he killed in the primaries over the weekend, and killed in the Potomac primaries.  Hillary sacked her campaign manager.  A deputy Clinton campaign manager resigned.  Senior staffers fled.

And the whole Obama steamroller is so forceful that I’m even reading a lot of sighs about the possibility of a brokered convention, etc.

And then there’s this:

Dem_nom

That’s pretty amazing.

Clinton is resting her campaign future on the Ohio and Texas primaries, which are on March 4.  A full three weeks away.  Right now, she’s in a good position in both the states.  But Obamamania is in full swing.  Of course, that means an Obama backlash is right around the corner.

For reasons that I’ve stated before, Obama would be a much better candidate against McCain.  He embodies change in ways that Hillary (oh God, another Clinton) can’t.  He’s 100 times more dynamic than McCain, who is 142 years old.

So all this is good news.  I note that the Obama campaign is now spinning the words "inevitability".  He’s got reason to be confident, but "inevitable"?  Nope.  Not yet.