According to 538, these are the battleground states as they exist NOW (to be a battleground state, a candidate's lead must be < 5 percent, according to the average of polls):

States where Obama is leading are in blue; McCain-leading states are in red.

But the news is this… even if Obama loses ALL the "Mid-Oct Battlegrounds", he still has — get ready for this – 286 electoral votes, putting him over the 270 needed to win.

Is it "over"?  Nope.  Lots can happen, even in 2.5 weeks.  But it sure smells like victory.