Two weeks out.

TPM reminds us that Obama is sitting on a solid 259 electoral votes, which means he only needs 11 more to win.  There are a number of ways he can get there, and (obviously), they don't necessarily include winning in Ohio and/or Florida.  That is what is making this race significantly different that 2000 and 2004.

Specifically, there are several battleground states right now, totalling 105 electoral votes.  Obama needs (as I said) to grab only 11 electoral votes from these states.  McCain, on the other hand, needs to grab them ALL.

It appears, however, that the McCain plan is to go after Pennsylvania, which is now a solid Obama state.  Somehow, in two weeks, they have to turn that around.  But look what they're up against…

Good luck with that.  Unless McCain becomes a second baseman for the Phillies and brings home the Word Series with a dramatic walk-off three-run homer in Game 7, I don't think he stands much of a chance.

Anyway, Josh Marshall lays it all out…