Bad Week For Trump To Culminate In Likely Wisconsin Loss

Ken AshfordElection 2016, PollsLeave a Comment

Women.  Turns out THEY are the Donald’s Achilles Heel.

Trump’s campaign was rocked last week by the fallout from his suggestion that women be punished for getting abortions if the procedure is banned.  Trump dialed that back in Trump style — basically he did a 360 on it, saying OF COURSE women should not be punished, and that his views on that have been inconsistent since the Reagan era (but never explaining why he said what he said in the first place)

Also, Trump also acknowledged that he made a mistake retweeting an attack on Cruz’s wife, according to the New York Times.  That was interesting in that he simply acknowledged it as a mistake.  Maybe even he could not make up some justification.

The there was his campaign manager who was caught on tape (after denying it many times) committing misdemeanor battery against a female reporter.  Trump stood by his manager out of loyalty, but then – very quietly over the weekend when nobody was paying attention — he rolled back some of the campaign manager’s duties.

He also drew some fire last week for saying he would not rule out using nuclear weapons in Europe, and that Japan and South Korea might need their own nuclear arsenals to ease the U.S. financial commitment to their security.  Yup.  He thinks a nuclear arms race in Korea would be a good thing for us.

Tuesday is another primary day and the prize is Wisconsin.  A blue collar state, it should be a Trump haven.  But it isn’t.  Cruz is up in all the recent polls…

Wiscpolls

… and even Kasich does well.  The fact that Kasich is still in the race prompted Trump to make the odd claim to the RNC Kasich should “not be allowed to run” because he is taking “his” (meaning Trump’s) votes.   Apparently, Trump wants the RNC to make up rules on the fly — rules which favor Trump.

Hmmm.  The response from the Kasich campaign was nice.

And speaking or rules, there has been a lot of talk about the rules of the RNC (Republican National Convention), for the obvious reason that there may not be a Republican candidate with a majority going in to the election.

So what are the RNC rules?  Well, that’s the fun part.  Nobody knows.  Not even the RNC.  Here’s what the RNC says:

Convention Facts   GOP

You see, the rules are decided by the convention delegates themselves.

A week before the Convention, the 2016 Convention Rules Committee must convene to put together a package of rules to recommend for consideration by all delegates.

Delegates from each state and territory elect two representatives from within their own delegations to the Convention Rules Committee – 112 delegates in total.

The Convention Rules Committee, after debate and discussion, adopts by majority vote a package of recommended rules that moves to the convention floor.

Once a majority of the convention delegates adopt the report, the rules become the permanent rules governing that Convention.

That package, called a Rules Report, is adopted by the Convention Rules Committee by majority vote.

It’s the 2016 Convention Rules Committee Meeting — the hotel ballroom or whatever — THAT’S the room where it happens.

You can be sure that Cruz will be trying to get “his people” on that committee.  So would Trump, if he has even thought about this and has the ground game to do the same.

Put another way, whoever gets the delegates on the rule committee is the one who ultimately gets the nomination, IF it is an open convention.  112 delegates are going to become VERY important.

Anyway, this might be moot if Trump gets the 1237 delegates needed.  Wisconsin could be bad for him, but after that comes New York and Pennsylvania, where he is expected to trounce Cruz (and Kasich of course).