Fox News has Clinton up nationally over Trump 49-39 among registered voters (+10 points).
The internals are also bad for Trump:
It’s a draw on “terrorism and national security,” as the candidates receive 47 percent apiece. In May, Trump led Clinton by 12 points on doing a better job on “terrorism” (52-40 percent).
Equal numbers of voters say the economy and terrorism are the most important issues facing the country today (22 percent each). Education is the only other one to receive double-digit mentions (11 percent). Here’s the rest of the list: race relations (9 percent), the federal deficit (5 percent), health care (5 percent), climate change (4 percent), immigration (3 percent), foreign policy (3 percent), and drug addiction (2 percent).
Clinton beats Trump by wide margins on education (+23 points), and on the lower priority concerns: climate change (+31 points), race relations (+28 points), drug addiction (+19 points), foreign policy (+16 points), and health care (+11 points). She also has the advantage on one of Trump’s signature issues — immigration (+7 points).
Who would do better picking the next Supreme Court justice? That’s a hot topic this election. Voters trust Clinton over Trump by eight points. They also think she’s more likely to “preserve and protect the U.S. Constitution” (+7 points).
Trump beats Clinton on the issues of the economy (+5 points) and the deficit (+5 points), which explains why Trump is trying to stay on message about the economy and the deficit.
The McClatchy-Marist poll this week has Clinton up nationally over Trump 48-33 among registered voters (+15 points). When Johnson and Stein are thrown into the mix, it is +10 points.
Again, there are bad internals.
Clinton beats Trump with whites 41-39. That’s bad when you consider that Romney had white voters by 20 points, and still lost the election. Also:
Clinton wins moderates, 50-27 percent. She is far ahead with black voters, 93-2 percent, and with Latinos, 55-26 percent.
More encouraging for Clinton, 57 percent of her backers say their vote is for her, while 40 percent say it’s largely an anti-Trump vote.
***
Most of Trump’s backers – 57 percent – say their vote is against Clinton, while only 36 percent called it a pro-Trump decision.
On issue after issue, Clinton ranked ahead of Trump. She’s up by 8 when asked who can best handle the war on terror. She’s ahead 21 on immigration, 14 on gun violence, 14 on trade and 4 on creating jobs, which had been one of Trump’s strengths.
And the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll has Clinton up nationally over Trump 47-38 among registered voters (+9 points).
Internals also strong for Clinton:
Clinton enjoys a significant advantage among women (51 percent to Trump’s 35 percent), African Americans (91 percent to 1 percent), all non-white voters (69 percent to 17 percent), young voters (46 percent to 34 percent), and white voters with a college degree (47 percent to 40 percent).
Let’s stop there, and reflect on that 1 percent. Ok, done. Going on….
Trump leads among white voters (45 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent), seniors (46 percent to 43 percent), independents (36 percent to 32 percent) and white voters without a college degree (49 percent to 36 percent).
The two candidates are running nearly even among men, at 43 percent for Clinton and 42 percent for Trump.
***
Asked which candidate would be better at dealing with economy, voters still give the advantage to Trump, with 46 percent selecting the Republican as the best candidate for economic matters and 42 percent picking Clinton. But in June, Clinton suffered a 10-point deficit to Trump on the same question, 47 percent to 37 percent.
The candidates are also now statistically tied on the question of which one would better handle terrorism and homeland security, compared to a five-point advantage for Trump in June.
Clinton has also improved her scores against Trump on dealing with immigration (49 percent for Clinton compared to 39 percent for Trump), having the ability to handle a crisis (51 percent to 33 percent) and having the ability to unite the country. (43 percent to 26 percent.)
Respondents also chose Clinton as the better candidate when it comes to “caring about people like me” (45 percent to 29 percent.)
All in all, terrible for Trump.
The state polls that came out yesterday are even more bleak.
Clinton leads Trump by 6 in the pivotal swing state of Florida
Clinton leads Trump by 8 in the pivotal swing state of Pennsylvania
Clinton also leads Trump by 17 in New Hampshire and by 9 in Michigan.
ALL OF THIS gives us this map from 538.com — their “polls-only” forecast:
What works in Trump’s favor? The fact that it is August 5. This thing starts to get real on Labor Day. The Olympic are going to get people to focus elsewhere, and perhaps Donald Trump can reboot.