We are several days (including a weekend) following the Democratic debates, and the field is taking shape as expected. Warren and Harris are up; Bide is down. Here are some graphs:
Post-debate CNN poll: 2020 Democrats
6/28-30 (change from 5/28-31)
Biden 22% (-10)
Harris 17% (+9)
Warren 15% (+8)
Sanders 14% (-4)
Buttigieg 4% (-1)
Booker 3% (-)
O’Rourke 3% (-2)
Klobuchar 2% (-)
Castro 1% (-1)
de Blasio 1% (+1)
Gabbard 1% (-)
Yang 1% (-)
[everyone else <1%]— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) July 1, 2019
According to poll guru Nate Silver, CNN seems to be an outlier:
If you average the various post-debate polls so far, you get something like Biden 28, Harris 15, Bernie 15, Warren 13, Buttigieg 6.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 1, 2019
Meanwhile, Trump’s polling is in a murky dark area and he does not seem to be benefiting from the good economy.
