Sorry, Donald Trump. Sorry, Rudy Giuliani. Sorry, Devin Nunes. Sorry, Jim Jordan, Sorry, Sean Hannity. Sorry, Fox News watchers. There was no Deep State conspiracy to cook up a Russia investigation to sabotage Trump’s campaign and, then, his presidency. There was no witch hunt. There was no hoax. The Obama administration did not, as Trump claimed, have his “wires tapped” in Trump Tower and did not “tapp” [sic] Trump’s phones during “the very sacred election process.”
There was no Spygate.
It turns out that this Spygate—the name Trump-Russia truthers gave to their allegations that Trump was the victim of a clandestine and elaborate plot waged by US government officials in the FBI, CIA, and elsewhere—was the hoax. The scandal was—and remains—Russia’s attack on the United States that was mounted in part to help Trump win the White House and Trump’s complicity in that assault by (at different times) inviting, denying, welcoming, requesting encouraging, and accepting Moscow’s operation.
The Justice Department’s internal watchdog will release a highly anticipated report Monday that is expected to reject President Donald Trump’s claims that the Russia investigation was illegitimate and tainted by political bias from FBI leaders. But it is also expected to document errors during the investigation that may animate Trump supporters.
The report, as described by people familiar with its findings, is expected to conclude there was an adequate basis for opening one of the most politically sensitive investigations in FBI history and one that Trump has denounced as a witch hunt. It began in secret during Trump’s 2016 presidential run and was ultimately taken over by special counsel Robert Mueller.
The report comes as Trump faces an impeachment inquiry in Congress centered on his efforts to press Ukraine to investigate a political rival, Democrat Joe Biden — a probe the president also claims is politically biased.
Still, the release of Inspector General Michael Horowitz’s review is unlikely to quell the partisan battles that have surrounded the Russia investigation for years. It’s also not the last word: A separate internal investigation continues, overseen by Trump’s attorney general, William Barr and led by a U.S. attorney, John Durham. That investigation is criminal in nature, and Republicans may look to it to uncover wrongdoing that the inspector general wasn’t examining.
Trump tweeted Sunday: “I.G. report out tomorrow. That will be the big story!”
He previously has said that he was awaiting Horowitz’s report but that Durham’s report may be even more important.
Horowitz’s report is expected to identify errors and misjudgments by some law enforcement officials, including by an FBI lawyer suspected of altering a document related to the surveillance of a former Trump campaign aide. Those findings probably will fuel arguments by Trump and his supporters that the investigation was flawed from the start.
But the report will not endorse some of the president’s theories on the investigation, including that it was a baseless “witch hunt” or that he was targeted by an Obama administration Justice Department desperate to see Republican Trump lose to Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016.
It also is not expected to undo Mueller’s findings or call into question his conclusion that Russia interfered in that election in order to benefit the Trump campaign and that Russians had repeated contacts with Trump associates.
And there it is, right from the IG report: pic.twitter.com/3GS7kFOfeB
— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) December 9, 2019
Barr is lying about the IG report already:
This AG Barr statement:
— Shimon Prokupecz (@ShimonPro) December 9, 2019
“The Inspector General’s report now makes clear that the FBI launched an intrusive investigation of a U.S. presidential campaign on the thinnest of suspicions that, in my view, were insufficient to justify the steps taken.”
“In my view…”. This is the same guy who had the “view” that the Mueller report was a complete exoneration of Trump (it wasn’t) and that the whistleblower complaint should be buried.
Barr's full statement on the DOJ IG report. pic.twitter.com/eXFhLv0Gyy
— Jason Leopold (@JasonLeopold) December 9, 2019
IG report: The sky is blue
— Adam Serwer🍝 (@AdamSerwer) December 9, 2019
Barr: The sky is red because the president says it is red, and it is absolutely lawless that anyone would contradict the president
Here’s something interesting…
Breaking: Dossier author Chris Steele had a meeting at Trump Tower, and maintains he was not biased against President Trump and in fact maintained a close friendship with a family member and was, if anything, “favourably disposed” to the Trumps. Extract from the OIG report here: pic.twitter.com/afjxBkcTkd
— Julia Macfarlane (@juliamacfarlane) December 9, 2019
BREAKING: ABC News can confirm that the Trump “family member” referenced in the Inspector General report who had a friendship with dossier author Chris Steele, was Ivanka. She met him in 2007 at a dinner in London when he was still working for MI6. https://t.co/W64i5GPqVK
— Julia Macfarlane (@juliamacfarlane) December 9, 2019
UPDATE: Durham not on board with the Horowitz report:
NEW: John Durham says they "do not agree with some of the report’s conclusions as to predication and how the FBI case was opened.” pic.twitter.com/GfKezyK9kV
— Ryan J. Reilly (@ryanjreilly) December 9, 2019
IG: LisaPage did not play a role in opening Crossfire Hurricane or individual cases, and Strzok “was not the sole, or even highest-level, decision maker as to any of those matters”
— Asha Rangappa (@AshaRangappa_) December 9, 2019
IG: LisaPage did not play a role in opening Crossfire Hurricane or individual cases, and Strzok “was not the sole, or even highest-level, decision maker as to any of those matters”
— Asha Rangappa (@AshaRangappa_) December 9, 2019
The solution for this is to fix FISA.
— emptywheel (@emptywheel) December 9, 2019
Mark Meadows has been distracting from that. https://t.co/zUNER14HGh
The DOJ IG also uncovered a number of messages from pro-Trump FBI employees (in addition to issues with the FISA process): pic.twitter.com/ges74P6lgF
— Ryan J. Reilly (@ryanjreilly) December 9, 2019
The IG found no evidence that Manafort, Flynn, and Papadopoulos were under FISA surveillance.
— Natasha Bertrand (@NatashaBertrand) December 9, 2019
Papadopoulos has repeatedly claimed the FBI sought and obtained a FISA on him, and CNN reported in 2017 that Manafort was wiretapped before and after the election. pic.twitter.com/aCkm9kXuGN
Trump’s spin is Trumpian:
Pres Trump at WH says of DOJ IG report: “It’s incredible, far worse than what I ever thought possible….This was an attempted overthrow and a lot of people were in on it, and they got caught.”
— Yamiche Alcindor (@Yamiche) December 9, 2019
Note: Report says FBI had an “authorized purpose” when it initiated investigation.
Chris Wallace on Fox News on the DOJ IG report: "The headline is that they didn't find the things that Bill Barr and Donald Trump alleged." pic.twitter.com/bWVoJmLxp6
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) December 9, 2019
Trump hired a guy under investigation by the FBI for trans-national money laundering to be his presidential campaign chair in 2016. Just insane. https://t.co/j1g18i9pA8
— Casey Michel 🇰🇿 (@cjcmichel) December 9, 2019
For those following along:
— Lisa Page (@NatSecLisa) December 9, 2019
After two IG investigations;
At least a dozen IG lawyers and investigators poring over every text, email, and note I ever wrote;
1000 pages of investigative findings;
And the President repeatedly accusing me of bias and treason; /1
The sum total of findings by IG Horowitz that my personal opinions had any bearing on the course of either the Clinton or Russia investigations? Zero and Zero.
— Lisa Page (@NatSecLisa) December 9, 2019
Cool, cool. /end
Shorter Durham: “Our investigation is ongoing,” so it’s inappropriate to weigh in now and there’s no reason for us to do so, but the AG asked us say something to try to mitigate the damage from the IG report to the narrative he and the president have been pushing, so here you go. https://t.co/QbUQen5lLJ
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) December 9, 2019
Imagine being a DOJ official with knowledge of potential crimes surrounding the president. You now know coming forward likely entails the AG shutting you down, the likely loss of your job, your actions under the IG microscope, and then your guilt asserted by the AG once cleared.
— Brian Beutler (@brianbeutler) December 9, 2019
IG Report shows conclusively that there was a need for Russia inquiry. All those-including the AG-who questioned the motives of the career people at DOJ and FBI must acknowledge this. Do no more harm to these organizations. You were politically motivated; you’re now proven wrong
— Eric Holder (@EricHolder) December 9, 2019
Three of the last details we learned abt Christopher Steele:
— emptywheel (@emptywheel) December 9, 2019
1) McCain referred the dossier to Jim Comey.
2) With the advise of Lindsey Graham.
3) Steele once liked Ivanka.
So it was all lies. No treason. No spying on the campaign. No tapping Trumps wires. It was just good people trying to protect America. https://t.co/9nurCaIBq2
— James Comey (@Comey) December 9, 2019
This is the big picture: Trump and the other conspiracy nutters—which includes Attorney General Bill Barr, who has been looking for evidence to back up the Papadopoulos-was-set-up claim—are flat-out wrong. They have obsessively promoted unfounded allegations about the origin of the Russia investigation and the role of the Steele memos in the inquiry, and they have excessively fixated on technical points regarding a surveillance warrant used by the FBI during the probe to mount a false flag operation. And this underhanded maneuver worked, to a degree, with these garbage talking points shaping the national conversation and media coverage of the Russia scandal. The IG report shows that Trump and his crew perverted and polluted the nation’s consideration of what happened in 2016—and that they have served, wittingly or not, as useful idiots for Russia.
The report does slap the FBI for “significant inaccuracies and omissions” in applications it filed to obtain warrants to secretly monitor Carter Page, a former Trump campaign adviser who had traveled to Moscow and interacted with Russian officials during the campaign. The report says that FBI agents “failed to meet the basic obligation” to ensure the applications were “scrupulously accurate.” Nevertheless, the document notes that it is uncertain whether a more accurate application would “have resulted in a different outcome.” The Spygate crowd has been screaming for years about this one warrant—which came months after the investigation was opened and only involved one slice of the inquiry. But this warrant had nothing to do with the start of the investigation and stands alone in this case as an instance of bureaucratic wrongdoing.
The IG report should kill and bury all the conspiracy hogwash that Trump and his acolytes have used to poison the political environment and prevent a real and thorough discussion of what occurred in 2016: the Russian attack and Trump’s collaboration with it. But it won’t. As soon as the report was released, Barr started a disinformation campaign with a disingenuous statement: “The Inspector General’s report now makes clear that the FBI launched an intrusive investigation of a U.S. presidential campaign on the thinnest of suspicions that, in my view, were insufficient to justify the steps taken.” That’s the opposite of the report’s findings. And Jordan similarly chimed in: “The Inspector Generals report confirms what many of us feared: James Comey’s FBI ignored guidelines and rules in spying on President Trump’s campaign in 2016. We now know that within one week of the investigation opening, the FBI was surveilling the campaign and four specific individuals associated with it.” Yet the report states these investigations were appropriately triggered.
So the BS won’t stop. Trump, Barr, Jordan and the rest are too invested in it. Now they and their minions will turn to John Durham, the federal prosecutor whom Barr assigned to conduct a separate review of the FBI’s Russia investigation, to carry on their crusade. And Durham, in this hour of need, provided them great comfort. In an unusual move, Durham issued a statement noting that he did not “agree with some of the [IG] report’s conclusions as to predication and how the FBI case was opened.” This means Trump and his crew will be able to continue their scorched-earth campaign against the truth they cannot handle: Russia attacked the United States and Trump helped. That full equation can never, ever, ever be acknowledged by Trump and his henchmen. They are fighting this battle as if the legitimacy of Trump’s presidency depends upon it. And in that they are correct.