You’re Going To Hear A Lot About Gary Johnson Soon

Ken AshfordElection 2016Leave a Comment

US Libertarian Party presidential candidate Gary Johnson (Photo: NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images)

US Libertarian Party presidential candidate Gary Johnson (Photo: NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images)

He’s the former governor of New Mexico, likely Libertarian candidate for president, and he’s polling at 10 percent in two recently released national polls against Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

He’s Gary Johnson.

A Morning Consult survey published today has Clinton getting 38 percent of the vote, Trump 35 and Johnson 10, with 17 percent undecided. A Fox News poll conducted from May 14-17 showed Trump leading over Clinton, 42 percent to 39 percent, but Johnson at 10 percent as well. Lest you think this is some fluky May development, a Monmouth University survey conducted in mid-March — while the political universe was still busy wringing its hands over the Republican nomination — found that in a three-way race, Clinton would get 42 percent, Trump 34 percent and Johnson 11 percent.

If we assume that Johnson gets 10 to 15% of the vote in every state, that’s enough to tip the election.  And probably in Clinton’s favor.

Johnson ran as the Libertarian candidate in 2012, and won about 1 percent of the national vote, becoming the most successful Libertarian candidate ever; in polls done in May and June of 2012, he was polling at 2 percent. Bob Barr, the Libertarian nominee in 2008, also polled at 2 percent in the late spring of that year.

It must be noted that Johnson is not yet the Libertarian nominee. The party will be holding its nominating convention this weekend in Orlando, where he will face Austin Petersen, a young party operative, as well as former fugitive millionaire businessman John McAfee, who was once called “extremely paranoid, even bonkers” by the prime minister of Belize.