Boycott Utah

Ken AshfordSex/Morality/Family Values8 Comments

I have nothing against Mormons per se, but since it was the Church of Latter-Day Saints that funded Prop 8 in California, which isn't even their state, I think this call for a boycott of Utah might be a good idea.

(And let's face it, folks.  I know they've recently stepped into the 20th century, but Mormons really aren't the ones to be advocating the idea that marriage should be defined as a union between one man and one woman).

So yeah.  Let's have the Sundance Film Festival be in, oh, Colorado this year.  Hell, I already thought it was.

It's fine if Mormons don't believe in gays having equal rights, but…. wait, that reminds me of one of my favorite scenes from Angels in America:

Harper: I'm a Mormon.

Prior: I'm a homosexual.

Harper: Oh. [pause] In my church we don't believe in homosexuals.

Prior: In my church we don't believe in Mormons.

Alaska Senate Race: It Ain’t Over, Folks

Ken AshfordCongress, Election 2008Leave a Comment

Maybe the convicted felon didn't win after all.

Right now, Stevens is up 106,351 votes to Begich's 102,998.  That's a gap of only 3,353 votes.

However, according to the Alaska Division of Elections, there are over 81,000 absentee, early vote, and questionable ballots to be counted.  (63,000 votes if you ignore all the questionable ballots).

Nate Silver chunked the data and determined that, of the early votes counted so far, Begich got 61% of them.  Looking at the districts where early votes and absentee ballots come from, and assuming voting patterns are the same, Silver predicts that Begich picks up a net 6,450 votes, which would make him the winner — assuming there is no cheating.

Democrats picked up a 57th Senator with the squeaker win in Oregon.

If Begich wins Alaska, that would make 58.

If Al Franken wins Minnesota on the recount, that would make 59.

And if Martin somehow upsets Chambliss in the Georgia run-off (because neither candidate got over 50%), which is possible, but a slight uphill battle, that would make 60.

I predicted 58 before the elections.  I still stand by that.

Memes That Doesn’t Hold Water

Ken AshfordElection 20081 Comment

John KingLaura IngrahamCharles KrauthammerTom Brokaw, Karl Rove, Ruth Marcus  . . . they're all saying that America is still a "center-right" country.


Here's the thing: if that's true, then why didn't America elect the center-right candidate, which describes McCain to a tee???

We get an answer from a chorus of pundits who say, "Well, McCain wasn't conservative enough."  So he was — what?  To the left of center-right?  So where does that put Obama?

This memes simply don't make sense.  This election was, above all else, a repudiation of conservative governing, which showed itself in deregulation which lead to an economic crisis, invasions of foreign countries, Katrina non-response, turning a blind eye to global warming, and — perhaps the biggest gripe of all — the ever-increasing gap between the wealthiest in our country and the poorest.

Sure, most people didn't pull the Obama lever thinking, "He's a progressive and so am I."  But they pulled the lever thinking that he was offering something different — you know, "change" — and something better.   It was a repudiation of what was — and "what was" was called (rightly or wrongly) conservatism.

Just A Touch More Blue

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

Omaha, Nebraska (where I was born) was finally called for Obama, giving him one more EV.  It's also a flip from red to blue for that district.  The rest of Nebraska's electoral votes stayed red, which is what they have always been since 1964.

It looks like Missouri is going to go McCain when all is said and done, making the final score: 365-173

But Will They Go For It In Peoria?

Ken AshfordSex/Morality/Family ValuesLeave a Comment

Yeah, Obama is the first black president blah blah blah historical yada yada yada.

But did you know that on November 4, 2008, another milestone of sorts was reached?

RasmusAmerica now has its first transgender mayor:

In tiny Silverton, Oregon, residents have elected the man who's believed to be the first ever openly transgender mayor in the United States.

Stu Rasmussen served two terms as the Mayor of Silverton in the 1990s. But he hadn't admitted to being transgender. He's not the same man now that he was then. Today he wears a skirt and high heels. He has breast implants, and long red hair. He looks like a woman – but he's not.

"I identify mostly as a heterosexual male," Rasmussen said. "But I just like to look like a female."

Rasmussen_img_0 Rasmussen is a man. He even has a girlfriend. He says he's always been transgender, but he only "came out" a few years ago.

That's cool, I suppose.  But I doubt some presidential candidate is going to come along and pick this small-town mayor for Vice President.

Commercial From My Youth

Ken AshfordRandom Musings1 Comment

If you grew up with Boston TV stations in the 1970's you saw this ad a lot:

The Museum of Science in Boston was the bomb when I was little.  I wonder if it still is.

Response To “From 52 To 48”

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

Background here.  It's about the website expressing this sentiment in submitted pictures:

Dear48

The response from the 48?  Well, there's some positive, but sadly, I'm seeing a lot of this:

Dear 52,

Kiss my fat, white ass.

Farepoorly,

48

and this:

"I'm more inclined to dress my wounds, restring my bow, and plan my counterattack than I am to hold hands and sing Kumbaya."

You just can't sell hope and change to some people.

A Quick Message To Wingnuts

Ken AshfordConstitution, Obama Opposition, Right Wing Punditry/IdiocyLeave a Comment

Guys, Obama isn't going to touch your guns.  And he's not going to take away right wing talk radio.

He's really not.

You want to know how I know that?

Because Obama is a constitutional scholar.  Unlike you wingnuts, or the Bush Administration, he's actually read the document.  He's studied it.  He taught it for several years.

So he knows — really knows — what the First and Second Amendment mean.

And he respects it, too.

You see, I'm no fan of guns myself.  But I've researched the Second Amendment — its historical origins, etc. — and I come away with same conclusion that the U.S. Supreme Court finally did last year: it's an individual right.  Obama thinks that, too.

Obama, above all, is a man of principle, and much of that principle is embodied in the Constitution.  Unlike the people you elect to office, he stands by that principle, that document.

So you can buy up your guns and display other silly, yet insulting, manifestations of fear about what will happen in the next four years….

…but you're really going to look like jackasses when none of your predictions of an Obama-driven apocalypse come true.

Change We Can Believe In

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

A photo montage of something that happened at Grant Park on the night of Obama's victory speech.

The photos were taken by a 17 year old who just happened to be there at the right time:

And there was this kid at the rally, I think he was about six years old. He was black, and sitting up on his dad’s shoulders. He had an Obama-Biden sign, and for what I swear was about 3 hours straight, he held the sign straight up, with the most determined look I had ever seen on a six-year-old’s face. And then this other kid appeared, a white kid, on his dad’s shoulders. And all of a sudden they were sharing the sign back and forth. And then, then they held it together. And…it was so simple, SO simple. Yet, at the same time, it was one of the most beautiful things I had ever seen, and the great part was that they had no idea what they were doing. Everyone looked at them, people took pictures, but they were just holding a sign. “Little black boys and black girls will be able to join hands with little white boys and white girls…” It was so simple."

Spontaneous and unintentionally symbolic…..

Kidsrally1

War Candidates Usually Lose

Ken AshfordHistoryLeave a Comment

Hey, he's right.

It's been 48 years since a war hero candidate won when running against a candidate who has never seen combat.  Whoever had the most combat/war experience, always lost. 

Well, except in 1988, but still:

John McCain entered the 2008 presidential campaign with a strong advantage shared by John Kerry in 2004, Bob Dole in 1996, and George H.W. Bush in 1992. All four were war heroes whose opponents bore no record of military service. (Dubya's spotty attendance in the Air National Guard doesn't count.) Yet Kerry, Dole, and Bush père lost, and McCain will almost certainly lose, too. If you broaden the McCain category from "war hero" to "wartime veteran," then add Al Gore (2000) to the roster of vets defeated by nonvets in presidential elections.

Presidents Richard Nixon, Lyndon Johnson, and Ronald Reagan were all World War II veterans, but their service records were unexceptional. Yet they beat out George McGovern, a bomber pilot who flew 35 combat missions; Barry Goldwater, who flew missions to war zones in Asia and Africa and, as a reservist, later rose to the rank of major general; and Jimmy Carter, a pioneering submariner in the nuclear Navy. Carter's seven years in the Navy trumps Ronald Reagan's three years in the Army making wartime propaganda films in Culver City, Calif. But Gerald Ford's near-drowning and heroic rescue work in a typhoon during his wartime Navy service in the South Pacific trumps Carter's peacetime service. Yet Carter beat Ford in 1976.

Why is that?  I think Matt Yglesius make sense:

I think the important larger point to recall is that the evidence suggests that candidate attributes in general don’t matter very much in presidential elections. The hard part is winning your party’s nomination, where amidst a field of ideologically similar members of the same party these kind of things can help you stand out. What’s a bit curious is that the idea that personal courage in battle was a big asset every took hold. The traditional military-to-presidency route involved being a general. But that’s not just a biographical fact, it’s like being a Senator or a Governor — a high-level public sector job that qualifies you for an even higher-level job.

In other words, the soldier-to-president route only seems to work if you are ranked general, as opposed to being Audie Murphy.  Which is why Colin could win, if he ever chose to run.

Screwing The Environment Before The Clock Runs Out

Ken AshfordEnvironment & Global Warming & EnergyLeave a Comment

Meanwhile…. Bush is still the president.

And he can still do a lot of things.

By law, new regulations and executive orders don't take effect until 60 days after they are issued, which means if Bush is going to do stuff, he has until November 20 to get them done.  (The Clinton Administration messed up on this — they issued a lot of executive orders and regulations after the deadline; the Bush team came in and was able to withdraw hundreds of them and/or modify them with a Republican slant).

The Washington Post recently did a story on the regulations that the Bush folks are trying to squeeze through at the last minute.  As you might guess, these regulations really screw with the environment and consumers:

The new rules would…lift constraints on private industry, including power plants, mines and farms…clear obstacles to some commercial ocean-fishing activities, ease controls on emissions of pollutants that contribute to global warming, relax drinking-water standards and lift a key restriction on mountaintop coal mining.

….A rule put forward by the National Marine Fisheries Service and now under final review by the OMB would lift a requirement that environmental impact statements be prepared for certain fisheries-management decisions and would give review authority to regional councils dominated by commercial and recreational fishing interests.

….One rule, being pursued over some opposition within the Environmental Protection Agency, would allow current emissions at a power plant to match the highest levels produced by that plant, overturning a rule that more strictly limits such emission increases. According to the EPA's estimate, it would allow millions of tons of additional carbon dioxide into the atmosphere annually, worsening global warming.

A related regulation would ease limits on emissions from coal-fired power plants near national parks.

A third rule would allow increased emissions from oil refineries, chemical factories and other industrial plants with complex manufacturing operations.

It looks like they're cutting corners to get it done, too.

Rushing to ease endangered species rules before President Bush leaves office, Interior Department officials are attempting to review 200,000 comments from the public in just 32 hours, according to an e-mail obtained by The Associated Press.

The Fish and Wildlife Service has called a team of 15 people to Washington this week to pore through letters and online comments about a proposal to exclude greenhouse gases and the advice of federal biologists from decisions about whether dams, power plants and other federal projects could harm species. That would be the biggest change in endangered species rules since 1986.

In an e-mail last week to Fish and Wildlife managers across the country, Bryan Arroyo, the head of the agency's endangered species program, said the team would work eight hours a day starting Tuesday to the close of business on Friday to sort through the comments. Interior Secretary Dirk Kempthorne's office, according to the e-mail, will be responsible for analyzing and responding to them.

The public comment period ended last week, which initiated the review.

House Natural Resources Committee Chairman Nick Rahall, D-W.Va., whose own letter opposing the changes is among the thousands that will be processed, called the 32-hour deadline a "last-ditch attempt to undermine the long-standing integrity of the Endangered Species program."

At that rate, according to a committee aide's calculation, 6,250 comments would have to be reviewed every hour. That means that each member of the team would be reviewing at least seven comments each minute.

It usually takes months to review public comments on a proposed rule, and by law the government must respond before a rule becomes final.

"It would seem very difficult for them in four days to respond to so many thoughtful comments in an effective way," said Eric Biber, an assistant professor at the University of California at Berkeley School of Law. Along with other law professors across the country, Biber sent in 70 pages of comment.

And sure enough, after the "thorough" review in four days, the Bush Administration announced new regulations the following Monday.

There will be many more of these quick and dirty regulations in the weeks to come.

See? This Is What I’m Talking About!

Ken AshfordRandom MusingsLeave a Comment

Dentynearcticchillsugarlessgum_(medium) I've ranted on here before about how new "flavors" aren't actually flavors at all.  In the olden days — like, the 1990's — you had flavors like cherry, orange, grape, and even some nice combination flavors, like lemon-lime, apple-banana, etc.

You always knew what you were getting.

But now, it's just a crapshoot.  I buy Gatorade that is flavored "Bahama Blue" – I don't know what the hell it's going to taste like.

I had onions for lunch (not whole, they were in what I was eating), so I wanted something minty to take the onion breath away.

I bought Dentyne Ice sugarless gum.  The flavor?  Arctic Chill.

Folks, it tastes like Icy Hot, or some sort of mentholated ointment that you rub on your muscle cramps.

Why couldn't they have just told me that on the packaging?!?