Is North Carolina The End?

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

The front page of USA Today:

“‘I really believe May 6 has the potential to be everything,’ says Joe Trippi… ‘Every day you see increased pressure on Hillary Clinton about why she’s staying in, and if she could win in North Carolina it would shut down that kind of talk and open up the possibility she could get there’ to the nomination.”

“‘But if he wins in North Carolina,’ Trippi says of Obama, ‘I think you’re going to see things close up very quickly. You’ll see a lot of superdelegates line up behind him.’”

If The Framers Of The Constitution Read This….

Ken AshfordConstitution, War on Terrorism/Torture, Wiretapping & SurveillanceLeave a Comment

…they would never stop throwing up.  I’m talking about this:

For at least 16 months after the Sept. 11 terror attacks in 2001, the Bush administration believed that the Constitution’s protection against unreasonable searches and seizures on U.S. soil didn’t apply to its efforts to protect against terrorism.

That view was expressed in a secret Justice Department legal memo dated Oct. 23, 2001. The administration on Wednesday stressed that it now disavows that view.

The October 2001 memo was written at the request of the White House by John Yoo, then the deputy assistant attorney general, and addressed to Alberto Gonzales, the White House counsel at the time. The administration had asked the department for an opinion on the legality of potential responses to terrorist activity.

The 37-page memo is classified and has not been released. Its existence was disclosed Tuesday in a footnote of a separate secret memo, dated March 14, 2003, released by the Pentagon in response to a Freedom of Information Act lawsuit by the American Civil Liberties Union.

”Our office recently concluded that the Fourth Amendment had no application to domestic military operations,” the footnote states, referring to a document titled ”Authority for Use of Military Force to Combat Terrorist Activities Within the United States.”

That’s the United States Justice Department, saying that the Fourth Amendment does not apply to domestic military operations.  The Fourth Amendment, which bars the government from searching and seizing private property, clearly applies to domestic military operations, since it is typically the military who would and could do such a thing in the first place.  In fact, that’s what pissed the early Americans off and set us to war against their British overlords.

A Smoking Gun? Or A Lie?

Ken AshfordWar on Terrorism/Torture, Wiretapping & SurveillanceLeave a Comment

Keith Olbermann (see video below) and Glenn Greenwald are on the case, and rightly so.

The controversy centers around statements made last week by Attorney General Mukasey.  In a speech to telecom leaders showing his support for telecom company immunity in the FISA law, Mukasey made a startling heretofore-unknown revelation.  From The NY Sun:

Officials "shouldn’t need a warrant when somebody with a phone in Iraq picks up a phone and calls somebody in the United States because that’s the call that we may really want to know about. And before 9/11, that’s the call that we didn’t know about. We knew that there has been a call from someplace that was known to be a safe house in Afghanistan and we knew that it came to the United States. We didn’t know precisely where it went."

At that point in his answer, Mr. Mukasey grimaced, swallowed hard, and seemed to tear up as he reflected on the weaknesses in America’s anti-terrorism strategy prior to the 2001 attacks. "We got three thousand. . . . We’ve got three thousand people who went to work that day and didn’t come home to show for that," he said, struggling to maintain his composure.

At the time of the attacks, Mr. Mukasey was the chief judge at the federal courthouse a few blocks away from the World Trade Center.

Now there are a few things to be pointed out here:

(1)  This is the first time anyone has even mentioned a pre-9/11 call from a safe house in Afghanistan to the United States, and connected that call with the actual events of 9/11.  Even the 9/11 Commission was not aware of this call, and did not mention it in their report.

(2)  Even under the old FISA law in place at the time, warrantless wiretaps of foreign phones were possible and legal.  Mukasey’s statement begs the question: why wasn’t such a tap conducted?  (Greenwald and others call the failure to do so "criminal negligence" on the part of the Bush Administration).

Basically it comes down to one of two things: (a) Mukasey is recounting knowledge of a phone call that didn’t actually occur (in order to gin up public support for the telecom immunity provision of the FISA bill), or, (b) as Greenwald writes, he "has just revealed the most damning fact yet about the Bush’s administration’s ability and failure to have prevented the attacks — facts that, until now, were apparently concealed from the 9/11 Commission and the public."

I suspect it is the former, but the questions do need to be asked.  Right now, nobody seems to be paying attention, and it’s gone totally under the radar.

The Olbermann segment:

World’s Worst Attorney: John Yoo

Ken AshfordWar on Terrorism/TortureLeave a Comment

Holy mother of God:

Memo: Laws Didn’t Apply to Interrogators

Justice Dept. Official in 2003 Said President’s Wartime Authority Trumped Many Statutes

The Justice Department sent a legal memorandum to the Pentagon in 2003 asserting that federal laws prohibiting assault, maiming and other crimes did not apply to military interrogators who questioned al-Qaeda captives because the president’s ultimate authority as commander in chief overrode such statutes….

Translation:  The President is above the law — all laws, any law — because he is the commander in chief, and therefore his subordinates are likewise above the law.  Everyone out there agree with that?

“If a government defendant were to harm an enemy combatant during an interrogation in a manner that might arguably violate a criminal prohibition, he would be doing so in order to prevent further attacks on the United States by the al Qaeda terrorist network,” Yoo wrote. “In that case, we believe that he could argue that the executive branch’s constitutional authority to protect the nation from attack justified his actions.”

Translation: The ends justify the means.

Interrogators who harmed a prisoner would be protected by a “national and international version of the right to self-defense,” Yoo wrote. He also articulated a definition of illegal conduct in interrogations — that it must “shock the conscience” — that the Bush administration advocated for years.

“Whether conduct is conscience-shocking turns in part on whether it is without any justification,” Yoo wrote, explaining, for example, that it would have to be inspired by malice or sadism before it could be prosecuted.

Translation:  From a legal standpoint, it’s the torturer who gets to decide whether or not he’s conducting  "torture".

Regular readers of Glenn Greenwald know his reaction, and true to form, he rips Yoo a new one:

The fact that John Yoo is a Professor of Law at Berkeley and is treated as a respectable, serious expert by our media institutions, reflects the complete destruction over the last eight years of whatever moral authority the United States possessed. Comporting with long-held stereotypes of two-bit tyrannies, we’re now a country that literally exempts our highest political officials from the rule of law, and have decided that there should be no consequences when they commit serious felonies.

John Yoo’s Memorandum, as intended, directly led to — caused — a whole series of war crimes at both Guantanamo and in Iraq. The reason such a relatively low-level DOJ official was able to issue such influential and extraordinary opinions was because he was working directly with, and at the behest of, the two most important legal officials in the administration: George Bush’s White House counsel, Alberto Gonzales, and Dick Cheney’s counsel (and current Chief of Staff) David Addington. Together, they deliberately created and authorized a regime of torture and other brutal interrogation methods that are, by all measures, very serious war crimes.

If writing memoranda authorizing torture — actions which then directly lead to the systematic commission of torture — doesn’t make one a war criminal in the U.S., what does?

On the other hand, Yale Law Professor Jack Balkin makes a critical point:

Lawyers can make really bad legal arguments that argue for very unjust things in perfectly legal sounding language. I hope nobody is surprised by this fact. It is very commonplace. Today we are talking about lawyers making arguments defending the legality of torture. In the past lawyers have used legal sounding arguments to defend slavery, the genocide of Native Americans, rape (both spousal and non-spousal), Jim Crow, police brutality, denials of habeas corpus, destruction or seizure of property, and compulsory sterilization. . . . .

I think that is a fair point, but not persuasive.  A good lawyer can make a case defending any position.  But an ethical lawyer will stand up and tell his client (in this case, the United States) that such a position, even if he can make an argument, is a monstorously bad one, both legally and politically.  Yoo is not ethical, period.

Oh, yeah.  And his oath was to protect the Constitution, not the Bush Administration.

Harper‘s Scott Horton makes a further point as to why Yoo shouldn;t be merely viewed as a lawyer doing his job:

These memoranda have been crafted not as an after-the-fact defense to criminal charges, but rather as a roadmap to committing crimes and getting away with it. They are the sort of handiwork we associate with the consigliere, or mob lawyer. But these consiglieri are government attorneys who have sworn an oath, which they are violating, to uphold the law.

Yup.

Some legal ripping-apart of the memos, by Slate‘s Emily Bazelon:

What takes my breath away about the Yoo memos, now that we can finally read them, is their air of uttery certainty. One after another, complex questions of constitutional law are dispatched as if there’s no cause for any debate. The president has all the war-making power. Congress has none. The president’s commander in chief powers extend to interrogations (no matter how far from the battlefield in space and time they take place). Guantanamo Bay detainees and enemy aliens enjoy no constitutional protections. And then the pages Jack points us to, which include "Congress can no more interfere with the President’s conduct of the interrogation of enemy combatants than it can dictate strategic or tactical decisions on the battlefield." In other words, Congress cannot prohibit any sort of treatment that the president chooses to allow. No wonder Jack Goldsmith thought Yoo was reaching far beyond where he needed to go, not to mention what the state of the law would actually support. And yet he brooks no doubt.

That’s what I said!  She continues:

On Page 47 of the Yoo memo, if I’m not mistaken, there’s the amazing assertion that the Convention Against Torture doesn’t apply whenever the president says it doesn’t. "Any presidential decision to order interrogations methods that are inconsistent with CAT would amount to a suspension or termination of those treaty provisions." Doesn’t this mean that whether or not a treaty has been ratified, with or without express reservations, Yoo is saying that the president can implicitly and on his own authority withdraw the United States from the treaty simply by not abiding by it? Is there precedent for such a claim? In my quick scan so far of the tortured (sorry) reasoning here, I can’t find anything other than ipso facto—because I say so, the president says so.

And Marcy Wheeler points out that Yoo’s central argument — that the President (as Commander-in-Chief) can do whatever he wants in wartime — was explicitly rejected in the Youngstown case — and, incredibly –Yoo does not address Youngstown once in his entire memo.

That’s a bad lawyer.

And Now Obama Is In The Lead In PA

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

…according to one stunning poll at least:

Barack Obama has taken the lead in Pennsylvania, a remarkable turnaround after trailing Hillary Clinton by 26 points in a PPP poll in the state just two and a half weeks ago.

Obama’s steep rise could be a reflection of a growing sense among Democratic voters that a continued divisive nomination process will hurt the party’s chances of defeating John McCain this fall. An Obama upset in Pennsylvania would be virtually certain to force Clinton out of the race.

Obama has his customary large advantage with black voters (75-17) and is keeping it relatively competitive with white voters (49-38)

He leads across all age groups…

Chances are pretty good this poll is an outlier, but most polls are showing Obama cutting into Hillary’s huge lead.

If he actually wins in Pennsylvania — something nobody expected even days ago — the race is over for Hillary.

Fooled

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

I admit it.  I can be quite gullible at times.  It’s very easy to pull the wool over my eyes, and some people have managed do it with remarkable ease and regularity.

So I’m always on my toes on April Fool’s Day.  But nope, I got fooled.

Riding to rehearsal, I heard an incredible story on NPR.  It was on "Marketplace", which is not my favorite NPR show (econony and Wall Street — yawn).  Did you hear it?

Seems that the IRS has launched a pilot plan to help spur the economy.  They want people to take their tax refunds, and spend it (rather than save it, or pay down their debt).   So one million early filers got a surprise. Rather than receiving a check from the IRS, they received goods from the IRS.  The "Marketplace" news segment talked to a couple in Phoenix, Arizona who received a big box from the IRS.  Inside was an air conditioner.  Rather than a refund check, the IRS decided to spend that money on something the couple needed, and pumped their refund into the economy.

The piece then had an interview with an IRS employee, who explained that it was easy, through the Internet, to determine what a taxpayer might like to receive instead of their refund. For example, the Pheonix couple lived in hot Phoenix, and their house was on the market.  The IRS was able to determine that they lacked air conditioning, so voila — they sent an air conditioner!

Former Secretary of Labor Robert Reich weighed in, criticizing the IRS initiative.  He said, quite correctly, that the government historically does a poor job of determining what people want.  Plus, the effect of such a program on the economy would be negligible.  Plus, the cost of shipping the air conditioner was expensive (to which the IRS employee responded "Not really.  We’re the federal government.  We own the post office."]

Well, I was incensed.  What gives the federal government the right to spend MY refund check on something it THINKS I might want?

I arrived at rehearsal.  Joe and Kelly were there.  "You wouldn’t believe the news story I just heard on the way over here!" I said.

"Me too!"  Joe said.  "About the IRS?  Can you believe it?"

Kelly, who didn’t hear the radio story, laughed.  "It’s an April Fool’s joke.  It’s gotta be."

Oh, right.  Of course it was.

Duh.

Good one, NPR.  (You can listen to the story and/or read the script here).

Pennsylvania Getting Close

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

Everyone has assumed, quite correctly, that Hillary will take Pennsylvania in the next primary.  She’s enjoyed double digits leads in every poll for months.  Even the Obama campaign isn’t cmapaigning hard there, choosing instead to focus on later states like North Carolina and Indiana.

But whoa there. Rassmusson just came out with a poll showing that the Hillary stronghold on Pennsylvania is not what we all thought:

Clinton

47%

Obama

42%

Not sure

11%

In the same poll a week ago, it was a 10-point spread.

Open Left‘s Chris Bowers:

"It is starting to seem increasingly likely that Obama will not lose superdelegates [by] any substantial margin, if indeed he loses them at all. I have talked to a few publicly undecided superdelegates over the past week, and the range was anywhere from leaning Obama but waiting, to in favor of Obama but not ready to go public yet. […] There is an outside chance that a big Clinton win in Pennsylvania might upset the campaign a bit. Still, I expect that Obama will equal Clinton in superdelegates by the week following the North Carolina primary, and that Clinton will not gain any ground in terms of pledged delegates during the April 22nd-May 6th period. Given that Obama will also reach 1,627 pledged delegates on May 20th, I am starting to believe that the campaign will end in either May or June. Clinton can continue on to the convention if she likes, but when Obama reaches 1,627 and equals Clinton’s in superdelegates, few people will continue to take her campaign seriously. Hopefully, it won’t end in a blaze of self-destructive sour grapes."

UPDATE: SurveyUSA also has new Pennsylvania poll out, showing Hillary with a still-healthy 12-point lead, although that, too, is down, from 19 points in the last poll.

Incidentally, I know the Texas and Mississippi primaries were a while ago, but the counting is complete and the states have now certified the results.  MSNBC tell us:

NBC News has allocated the remaining nine Texas caucus delegates, 7-2, in favor of Obama. That means the Illinois senator has won the most delegates, 99-94, as a result of both the Texas primary and caucuses.

Obama now leads by 129 in the overall delegate count, 1637-1508. Obama leads by 162 pledged delegates, 1415-1253. (There remains just one delegate unallocated from Democrats Abroad.) Clinton leads among superdelegates, 255-222, per the NBC News Political Unit count.

Also note, the Obama campaign has passed around that it has picked up two delegates in Mississippi, showing Obama with a 20-13 lead. NBC News’ count remains 19-14 for Obama so far.

Congrats To The New Jumbo!

Ken AshfordPersonalLeave a Comment

At my undergrad alma mater, Tufts University, there sits a cannon on the hilltop by the chapel, a gift from the City of Medford to Tufts University in 1956.

In 1977, some joker painted the cannon with a political slogan, and a Tufts tradition was started.  Since them, the cannon has been painted and repainted countless times for birthdays, to announce events, etc.  I myself painted the cannon a couple of times.

This being the digital age, you can now paint the cannon online, which is just what my sister did to announce some exciting family news….

Zachcannon

My nephew, Zachary Dumont is following the footsteps of his mother (my sister), his father, and his uncle (me).  He was admitted to, and apparently is accepting, enrollment in Tufts University.

Congrats, Zach!

Dear Abby Hijacked: Volume Two

Ken AshfordDear Abby HijackedLeave a Comment

Actual letters to Dear Abby, randomly selected, with my response:

DEAR ABBY: My closest friend, "Tina," who is married, has been having an affair for a few months. She has now decided she’s no longer in love with her husband, "Hal," and wants a divorce. Tina and Hal have been in my life for several years and are like family to me.

Hal recently reached out to me for an explanation about Tina’s 180-degree change in attitude, feelings and behavior. He is crushed and confused about why she wants a divorce. He told me he had asked her if she had been cheating. Of course, Tina lied to him.

I don’t want to be the one to tell Hal what she’s doing, but I feel I owe it to him. I’m disgusted with Tina, and it’s killing me to see him in so much pain. What do you suggest? Am I really a friend if I don’t tell, or should I continue keeping her dirty little secret? — IN THE MIDDLE IN CORPUS CHRISTI

DEAR IN THE MIDDLE:  No, don’t tell Hal.  He’ll find out soon enough, especially if shes sues for divorce.  The truth will always out, as Shakespeare said.

I would, however, start to distance myself from Tina, hard as it may be.  She’s made herself an ugly bed, and is essentially asking her friends to respect her decision to have an affair.  If you can, fine, but most people don’t approve of lies and deception.  Take your "disgust" with Tina, and move away from her.

DEAR ABBY: My children have been cared for by a wonderful baby sitter I’ll call "Sally" for two years. Mine are the only children Sally watches, and she has three of her own. Our families have a friendly relationship.

Once in a while I will stop at the grocery store on my way home, or take off from work early for a dental appointment or some personal time. It is rare, but it does happen. I always tell Sally because I want to be honest. When I do, sometimes she acts like I should have picked them up right away. I still get there on time — sometimes early — and I pay her well.

Is there an unwritten rule that sitters are only for when you are at work? I don’t think I have abused her services, but sometimes I feel as though she thinks so. — FEELING GUILTY IN ILLINOIS

DEAR FEELING GUILTY:  You may be reading her wrong.  Or she may have a legitimate gripe.  Perhaps a frank and honest discussion with her is in order.  There is no "unwritten rule" about babysitting; reasonable people are allowed to differ.   Perhaps she thinks her services are being provided for only the time when you work.  Just talk to her and see if you can both get on the same page.

DEAR ABBY: My boyfriend, "Brady," and I do not share the same passions. I’m a gay rights activist and love animals. Brady is tolerant of gays, but does not love animals. (I have three cats.) Also, he is not altruistic.

"Something" is not right. I need to decide if I should go it alone because I have no intention of giving up my passions in life. What do you think? — ON DIFFERENT PATHS IN TEXAS

DEAR ON DIFFERENT PATHS:  No two people are exactly the same, and compatability does not mean they have to see eye-to-eye on all matters.  You need to decide how "passionate" you are about these issues (gay rights, animals) and more importantly, how passionate your ideal boyfriend should be.  (Perhaps he is passionate about something that you are not?).  If not being a gay rights activist, for example, is a "deal breaker" for you, then it’s time to move on.  But remember, a great part of any relastionship is being tolerant of the differences you have, and respecting those differences.

Lou Dobbs Steps In It

Ken AshfordRaceLeave a Comment

Lou Dobbs explains how he’s sick of "cotton pickin’" black leaders telling him how he can and can’t talk about race (he catches himself at the last minute — sorta) …

UPDATE:  The folks at CNN threw Dobbs a bone.  The CNN transcript cut the work "cotton"