Which Begs The Question

Ken AshfordBush & Co.Leave a Comment

From AP:

WASHINGTON – Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld said Tuesday that the Pentagon is reviewing its practice of paying to plant stories in the Iraqi news media, withdrawing his earlier claim that it had been stopped.

Rumsfeld told reporters he was mistaken in the earlier assertion.

"I don’t have knowledge as to whether it’s been stopped. I do have knowledge it was put under review. I was correctly informed. And I just misstated the facts," Rumsfeld said at a Pentagon news briefing.

So, when this issue was raised before, Rumsfeld had the correct information, but told it incorrectly.

Did he "misstate the facts" intentionally or unintentionally?

In other words, liar or idiot?

Bob Dole – UAE Spokesman

Ken AshfordWar on Terrorism/TortureLeave a Comment

CNN is apparently reporting that Bob Dole has been hired by the Dubai company to lobby for the company’s interest and hopefully do some PR damage control.

Doleviagra

Let the jokes begin.

We’re too busy to make up our own jokes, but we offer the following punchline:

"Port?!?  I thought you said ‘pork’!"

Bush Knew In Advance About Cheney Shooting

Ken AshfordRandom MusingsLeave a Comment

From The Onion:

White House Had Prior Knowledge Of Cheney Threat Aug. 2005 Briefing Warned, ‘Cheney Determined To Shoot Old Man In Face’

February 20, 2006 | Issue 42•08

WASHINGTON, DC—Government documents declassified today reveal that President Bush was briefed last summer of "a substantial risk" that Vice President Dick Cheney would shoot an elderly male in the face sometime in the next several months.

In a Presidential Daily Briefing given to Bush in August 2005, the CIA warned that the vice president was a potent threat to the senior population at large, and in particular "possessed the capabilities and intentions to spray a senior citizen with projectiles fired from a shotgun or other weapon." A second brief identified the population at risk as those "between 70 and 80 years of age," and warned that the vice president posed the greatest threat to "seniors in close proximity to the vice president when he is armed."

There’s more.

Whose Government?: The Politics of “Portgate”

Ken AshfordBush & Co., Congress, Election 2006, War on Terrorism/TortureLeave a Comment

Bluememe, via Glenn Greenwald, deconstructs Bush’s language:

Bush took the rare step of calling reporters to his conference room on Air Force One after returning from a speech in Colorado. He also stopped to talk before television cameras after he returned to the White House."I can understand why some in Congress have raised questions about whether or not our country will be less secure as a result of this transaction," the president said. "But they need to know that our government has looked at this issue and looked at it carefully."

Got that? There’s Congress on the one hand. And what Bush considers "our Government" on the other. And never the twain shall meet.

Greenwald also points out (along with Atrios) that the GOP-dominated Congress is unabashedly hypocritical.  When it comes to the NSA wiretapping, many Republicans stand by the notion that Article II of the Constitution gives the President unitary power in the area of national security.  But many of these same Republicans are now seeking emergency legislation to block the Bush’s UAE port deal . . . in the name of national security.  Go figure.

I’m still largely on the fence about this.  It seems clear that port maintenance is often outsourced to foreign companies, so this isn’t a biggie unless you take the xenophobic position that all Arab companies are inherently bad.  It should be noted that the UAE is within the "coalition of the willing" and has sent troops to aid us in Iraq.  Furthermore, as Kevin Drum points out, the workers will be American union members, and security matters gets handled by the people you would expect to be doing it (Coast Guard, etc.)

On the other hand, this particular company is owned by the royal family of the United Arab Emirates, a family that has met with bin Laden himself, as late as 1999.   They refuse to recognize Israel, but they recognized the Taliban. 

Even more troubling to me is the apparent ease with which this contract was granted.  The law requires a 45-day investigation into deals of this kind, a review which apparently never took place.  Then, there are allegations of quid-pro-quos, and the undeniable argument echoed everywhere about "why American companies can’t do this".  And also, is the UAE even good at this?  (See, e.g., Washington Post – 2/17/2002: "Al Qaeda’s Road Paved With Gold — Secret Shipments Traced Through a Lax System In United Arab Emirates")

One thing is for sure: while the deal may or may not be unsafe, the cause for concern certainly is understandable.   The Rude Pundit illustrates his concern in this crass, yet logical, way:

Let’s say, and why not, that you’re a victim of a crime, where a guy breaks down the doors to your house, wrecks the fuck out of your living room, strangles your cockatiel, and shits on the floor. You know who did it. It’s your neighbor who hated hearing your goddamn cockatiel start chirpin’ at sunrise everyday. But the cops can’t find your neighbor. Now let’s say you hire a decorator to come in to refurbish your shat on, fucked up living room. Let’s say you discover that the decorator’s assistant is your neighbor’s cousin. Sure, you can be assured over and over that he only saw your neighbor at large family gatherings and that he doesn’t know where the fucker is, but, c’mon, you gonna feel comfortable with that dude in your house every day? Would you be wrong to fire him?

My concern is the same as that of Publius:

I’m more afraid of the rogue actor. My fear is that giving Dubai control of the ports will give the company access to a host of extremely valuable information about our security procedures even if that information is just basic shipping logistics (where stuff comes in, when it’s inspected, what isn’t inspected, etc.). If the company has ready access to all this information, it only takes one disgruntled employee to share information in a way that could be harmful.

Conservative James Lileks says the same thing:

I’m not worried that some evil emir is putting a pinky to his monocled eye, and saying Mwah! at last I have them where I want them! I’m worried about the guy who’s three steps down the management branch handing off a job to a brother who trusts some guys who have some sympathies with some guys who hang around some rather energetic fellows who attend that one mosque where the guy talks about jihad 24/7, and somehow someone gets a job somewhere that makes it easier for something to happen.

Whether or not this is realistic concern is anybody’s guess.  But the politics of the "Portgate" "scandal" may be more important that determination of whether there actually is a bonafide scandal.  To that end, Greenwald makes another salient observation:

[T]here is a sweet poetic justice in watching all of this unfold. Having spent the last four years squeezing enormous political benefits out of cynical fear-mongering over Arab terrorists and despicable accusations that his political opponents are aiding and abetting terrorists by opposing his foreign policies, Bush now finds himself crying victimhood over what he is depicting as these very tactics. One reaps what one sows, and all of that.

True, but the real interesting thing is how this plays out politically.  Lileks again:

It’s remarkably tone deaf. It’s possible that the Administration did some quiet polling, and asked the question “How much Arab control over American ports are you comfortable with,” and misinterpreted stunned silence as assent. It’s possible the Administration believed that this would be seen as outreach, an act of faith to solidify a Key Ally, and didn’t think there’d be much hubbub – but if that’s the case, it’s the best example of the Bubble Theory I’ve heard, and I’ve not heard much convincing evidence. Until now. The average American’s reaction to handing port control over to the UAE is instinctively negative, and for good reason. There are two basic reactions: We can’t do this ourselves? and We should trust them, why?

Facing re-election challenges, the last thing that Republicans need is to be outflanked by Democrats on national security issues.  Therefore, they need to oppose Bush on this.   The UAE deal is the wedge issue that Democrats have been wanting to see for a long time.

What, then, should be the Democrat’s move?  Should they exploit the scandal, even if (as more and more are arguing) the Dubai deal isn’t really a threat to national security?  Greenwald seems open to the question:

If Democrats have an opportunity to inflict serious political harm on the Administration and its enablers in Congress through a scandal which may not be truly meritorious but can be a potent political weapon (and I’m not saying that’s the case for Portgate – I’m simply posing this question hypothetically), ought Democrats do what Bush followers have done for the last 5 years — namely, use whatever instruments they can to politically harm the Administration, even if there is some cynicism involved in doing so – or ought they maintain higher and more intellectually honest standards and forego political gain if it means cynically exploiting a scandal?

As some have said, this may mean that we have to "become like Republicans" in order to defeat them.  Digby opines:

Sometimes I get criticism from my readers for suggesting that the Democrats must play on the same playing field as the Republicans. They say, "we shouldn’t become them." But I never suggest that the Democrats should lie, cheat or play dirty as the Republicans do. I suggest that they wise up and stop pretending that Republicans are anything but ruthless adversaries and adjust accordingly. They can be beaten with smart strategies, but not unless the Democrats internalize the connection between the nice men and women they are working with on capitol hill every day with the thugs they hire to get elected. They are all cogs in the same cutthroat political machine.

The UAE deal represents much more of a shake-up of the political landscape than a Harriet Miers  nomination.  It places both parties at crossroads.  On the whole, I think the shake-up bears well for Democrats.  There is no "win" in this for Democrats, but it seems clear that Bush can only lose, especially if he exercises his veto power and it gets overridden by the GOP-dominated Congress. 

My sense is that Democrats will benefit from the GOP crack-up over this, and there is no need to exploit the GOP division.  Don’t look the gift horse in the mouth — just ride it.

Bush Digs In

Ken AshfordWar on Terrorism/TortureLeave a Comment

Incredible.  He’s never vetoed anything in his 6 years, and now he’s threatening to veto Congress if it blocks the UAE deal, even though it has less support than Harriet Miers.

Libertarian Glenn Reynolds:

Either this deal is somehow a lot more important than it seems (a quid pro quo for, well, something . . . ) or Bush is an idiot. Your call.

A bit ironic, since Congress will probably have the votes to override, thereby tarnishing Bush’s image even further.  Conservative Hugh Hewitt:

Majority Leader Frist just told my audience that an override of a presidential veto of legislation blocking the port deal was possible. Looks like a showdown, and it isn’t one the president can win.

Meanwhile, Glenn Greenwald isn’t sure its a scandal, but is open to argument:

Here is the source of my ambivalence. What exactly is the principle which the Administration has violated here? Are we supposed to be assuming that anything or anyone connected to the Middle East is more likely to pose a threat of terrorism than those who aren’t connected to the Middle East, and thereby avoid anything related to the Middle East when it comes to sensitive contracts? Or is the concern specific to this Middle Eastern country — that we ought to be assuming that anyone with connections to the UAE poses a greater threat of terrorism than those who don’t have such connections? Isn’t that the sort of profiling that most people have agreed is improper? These are real questions, not rhetorical ones.

Sean-Paul Kelley at The Agonist argues that there is no meritorious profiling component to these objections:

A number of people have pointed out that opposition to the UAE-US port management deal has a ‘racist’ tint to it. Bogus. The problem here is that we are giving a foreign company and country (it’s state-owned) control over a vital national security concern. What’s worse, is that we’re considering giving it to a country/company that has links to non-state actors. The same non-state actors that blew up the WTC, the Pentagon and the Cole.

This is a sovereignty issue, but not in a xenophobic/Lou Dobbs/Michelle Malkin type way. It goes to the heart of our struggle with al Qaeda. The UAE still has ties to al Qaeda-not to mention that is was a focal trans-shipment point for material from the network of AQ Khan in Pakistan. P&O, to the best of my knowledge, has links to neither.

Time Magazine also points out just why this isn’t good:

New York Republican Congressman Peter King has insisted the administration revisit its approval of the transfer of control of U.S. ports to "a company coming out of a country where al Qaeda has such a strong presence," and which could be easily infiltrated by the terrorist network. Democratic Senators Hillary Clinton of New York and Bob Menendez of New Jersey plan to hold hearings on the issue next week, and are seeking legislation banning companies controlled by foreign governments from buying U.S. port facilities. Menendez alleged that the UAE has a "serious and dubious history… as a transit point for terrorism." And in response to Homeland Security secretary Michael Chertoff’s insistence that the administration made a rigorous check — without disclosing details — of the security implications of the deal, California Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer said "It’s ridiculous to say you’re taking secret steps to make sure that it’s okay for a nation that has ties to 9/11 to take over part of our port operations."

It seems that conservatives are more apeshit about this then liberals, who are focused on Bush’s hypocrisy.  Conservatives are likely to go even more apeshit when they realize that Jimmy Carter supports Bush on the UAE deal.

To be continued, no doubt.

American Idol

Ken AshfordPopular Culture3 Comments

Four of the 24 American Idol contestants are from North Carolina.

Two of them are guys dudes; two are girls.

The two girls suck.

Steves Still Winning

Ken AshfordEducation, GodstuffLeave a Comment

The Discovery Institute has updated its list of supposedly "eminent" scientists who have signed a statement disagreeing with "Darwinism".  The list now has over 500 names.

One of them is not Robert Davidson, who I wrote about back here: Davidson was a scientist and Christian who felt that he was bamboozled into signing the lilst, especially since he believes in the "overwhelming evidence" of evolution.

But back when I wrote that, the Discovery Institute list was just over 400 names.  So they’ve obviously grown.

Many of these scientists are not learned in the fields of biology or chemistry.  As you can see from the Discovery Institute’s list (PDF), you have computer scientists, PhDs in philosophy, and structural engineers.

But that’s beside the point.  As I wrote elsewhere, the notion that you can legitimize pseudoscience by listing a bunch of names of "scientists" who believe in it, is silly.  That is the meta-point of "Project Steve", something I’ve written about before.  "Project Steve" mocks the Discovery Institute list by creating its own list of scientists, using the same criteria, who accept the fact of evolution. 

Except, to make it a fair fight, "Proect Steve" limits its signers to scientists named Steve (or a variation thereof — Stefan, Stephanie, etc.)

So, since the Discovery Institute list was on my radar, I thought I would check in on Project Steve.  Does it have more signers than the 500 on the anti-evolution Discovery Institute list?

Yup.  There are over 700 scientists — just named Steve — who accept evolution, beating out the 500 from "Darwin dissenters" (of any name) from the Discovery Institute.

So I guess evolution wins.  Next.

Rummy Unaware Of “Rigorous Review”

Ken AshfordWar on Terrorism/TortureLeave a Comment

Scotty McLellan, 2/16/05:

"Well, my understanding, Les, is that this went through the national security review process under CFIUS, at the Department of Treasury. That is the agency that is responsible for overseeing such matters. And this includes a number of national security agencies — the Department of Homeland Security, the Department of Defense, the Justice, among others, and there is a rigorous review that goes on for proposed foreign investments for national security concerns."

Donald Rumsfeld, today:

QUESTION: Are you confident that any problems with security — from what you know, are you confident that any problems with security would not be greater with a UAE company running this than an American company?

RUMSFELD: I am reluctant to make judgments based on the minimal amount of information I have because I just heard about this over the weekend.

Can We Call It A “-Gate” Yet?

Ken AshfordWar on Terrorism/TortureLeave a Comment

The Carpetbagger Report has noticed the slow upward tick in conservative interest about the UAE-port story, and calls it "the biggest GOP revolt since Harriet Miers".

Kevin Drum adds:

What it shows is that Bush still doesn’t understand how much influence he’s recently lost with his conservative base. In the brave new post-Harriet, post-Katrina world, outrage over the port deal has been driven equally by both liberal critics and conservatives like Michelle Malkin and administration uber-stalwart Hugh Hewitt, who are no longer willing to simply take Bush’s word for it that they should trust him on this issue. For today’s chastened conservatives, it’s "trust but verify" when it comes to the Bush administration.

Emails And Emotions

Ken AshfordScience & TechnologyLeave a Comment

Angry_emailWe’ve all said it, or heard it before: "I’m wary of emailing because someone might misread my tone".

It’s true.  Think about it.  A work colleague sends an email that closes with "Don’t work too hard".  Is he being friendly, or sarcastic?

A recent study shows that your interpretation of that email will be correct about half the time.

"That’s how flame wars get started," says psychologist Nicholas Epley of the University of Chicago, who conducted the research with Justin Kruger of New York University. "People in our study were convinced they’ve accurately understood the tone of an e-mail message when in fact their odds are no better than chance," says Epley.

The researchers took 30 pairs of undergraduate students and gave each one a list of 20 statements about topics like campus food or the weather. Assuming either a serious or sarcastic tone, one member of each pair e-mailed the statements to his or her partner. The partners then guessed the intended tone and indicated how confident they were in their answers.

Those who sent the messages predicted that nearly 80 percent of the time their partners would correctly interpret the tone. In fact the recipients got it right just over 50 percent of the time.

"People often think the tone or emotion in their messages is obvious because they ‘hear’ the tone they intend in their head as they write," Epley explains.

At the same time, those reading messages unconsciously interpret them based on their current mood, stereotypes and expectations. Despite this, the research subjects thought they accurately interpreted the messages nine out of 10 times.

Why do we get email messages wrong?  Because, according to the researchers, we’re selfish pricks:

The reason for this is egocentrism, or the difficulty some people have detaching themselves from their own perspective, says Epley. In other words, people aren’t that good at imagining how a message might be understood from another person’s perspective.

Instinctively, I think regular email users already know this.  But it’s nice to know that science has backed us up.

Un-declassified

Ken AshfordWar on Terrorism/TortureLeave a Comment

SilenceThe Bush Administration’s penchant for secrecy goes into hyperdrive:

In a seven-year-old secret program at the National Archives, intelligence agencies have been removing from public access thousands of historical documents that were available for years, including some already published by the State Department and others photocopied years ago by private historians.

The restoration of classified status to more than 55,000 previously declassified pages began in 1999, when the Central Intelligence Agency and five other agencies objected to what they saw as a hasty release of sensitive information after a 1995 declassification order signed by President Bill Clinton. It accelerated after the Bush administration took office and especially after the 2001 terrorist attacks, according to archives records.

But because the reclassification program is itself shrouded in secrecy — governed by a still-classified memorandum that prohibits the National Archives even from saying which agencies are involved — it continued virtually without outside notice until December. That was when an intelligence historian, Matthew M. Aid, noticed that dozens of documents he had copied years ago had been withdrawn from the archives’ open shelves.

Makes about as much as putting toothpaste back into the tube.

Roberts Court And Religious Freedom

Ken AshfordConstitution, Godstuff, Supreme CourtLeave a Comment

Tea_300x193SCOTUS addressed its first religious freedom case today under Roberts’ stewardship.  The vote was unanimous (with Alito not participating since oral arguments took place before he was sworn in).

It was actually a no-brainer in my view, and the Bush Administration rightfully lost.

A small Brazilian-based religious sect in New Mexico uses hallucinogenic tea as part of a four-hour ritual intended to connect with God.  (It’s called hoasca tea if y’all are interested).  The tea contains an illegal drug known as DMT.

The issue before the court was whether or not the seizure of the tea by the DEA violated the religious freedom of the sect.

The answer: Of course it does. 

The government attempted to argue about the substantial interest that the government has in wanting uniformity in its drug laws, but SCOTUS was unpersuaded.  The Court noted, for example, that while peyote is illegal, Congress has always created a statutory exception for Native American Indian tribes that use the stuff as part of its ritualistic ceremonies. 

Full text (PDF) of the opinion here: Gonzales v. O Centro Espirita Beneficiente Uniao do Vegetal et al.

ALSO:  Partial-birth abortion is back on the docket.

North Carolina Blogging

Ken AshfordLocal Interest2 Comments

Majikthise echoes the sentiments of Kos and others who point out that bloggers may have a more significant role to play in local elections rather than national ones.

She points out that North Carolina, particularly the Triad region, formed one of the first blogging communities designed to affect and influence local politics.  It has become, in essence, the role model for other communities across the country.

So with that, I’m adding myself to the rolls of NC Blogs, and include their logo Visit NCBlogs prominently in the sidebar.  Hopefully, it my copious free time (har-de-har), I’ll be able to blog about local elections in the near future.  Especially Nathan Tabor.

Outsourcing Our Security

Ken AshfordWar on Terrorism/TortureLeave a Comment

I was a few days ahead of the curve (for a change) when I blogged last week about a UAE company is going to handle homeland security at American ports.  But the blogosphere and politicians are on top of it now and it seems that everyone, from the right to the left, is asking the same "What The Fuck?" question.  The United Arab Emirates has ties to terrorism, specifically 9/11, has Think Progress explains:

– The UAE was one of three countries in the world to recognize the Taliban as the legitimate government of Afghanistan.

– The UAE has been a key transfer point for illegal shipments of nuclear components to Iran, North Korea and Lybia.

– According to the FBI, money was transferred to the 9/11 hijackers through the UAE banking system.

– After 9/11, the Treasury Department reported that the UAE was not cooperating in efforts to track down Osama Bin Laden’s bank accounts.

The story only gets worse.

The company, Dubai Ports World, would also control the movement of military equipment on behalf of the U.S. Army through two other ports. From today’s edition of the British paper Lloyd’s List:

[P&O] has just renewed a contract with the United States Surface Deployment and Distribution Command to provide stevedoring [loading and unloading] of military equipment at the Texan ports of Beaumont and Corpus Christi through 2010.

According to the journal Army Logistician “Almost 40 percent of the Army cargo deployed in support of Operation Iraqi Freedom flows through these two ports.”

You get that warm fuzzy feeling of security?  Yeah, me neither.

And What Happens When He Leaves?

Ken AshfordEconomy & Jobs & DeficitLeave a Comment

In his State of The Union address, Bush called for the United States to develop alternative energy sources, including renewable energy (wind, solar power, etc.).

Now he’s on a speaking tour to push those ideas.

Today, Bush is to speak at National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in Golden, Colorado.

Slight problem though: Last month, many people were let go from NREL due to budget cutbacks.

Not to worry though.  The Energy Department shoved $5 million to the lab, taking money from other accounts, so that workers could be rehired before Bush arrives.  You know, to avoid embarrassment.

UPDATE:  Mixed messages:

President Bush on Tuesday acknowledged that Washington has sent "mixed signals" to one of the nation’s premiere labs studying renewable energies — by first laying off, then reinstating, 32 workers just before his visit.