The dominant question going into Super Tuesday was: Did Joe Biden’s sweeping victory in South Carolina come just in time, or was it too late? The answer is now clear. Biden all-but-swept Super Tuesday states, propelled by a tsunami of late-deciding voters. Last night’s lessons, in order of how clear they are: Mike Bloomberg has provided us a salutory lesson: you can’t just buy a … Read More
It’s Super-Duper-Tuesday!
A third of all pledged delegates in the Democratic presidential race will be doled out on Tuesday across 14 states — from California to Maine — in the single biggest day of the 2020 contest.So, what’s going to happen? California and Texas are the two biggest states voting today, and obviously, much focus is on them. Here in North Carolina, I already … Read More
Steyer Out Saturday; Buttigieg Out Last Night; Klobachar Out Just Now
Basically, the day before Super Tuesday, we’re down Biden, Sanders, Bloomber and Warren. But the knockout of Pete Buttigieg means perhaps the most. And this just in… Breaking: Pete Buttigieg plans to endorse Joe Biden — Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) March 2, 2020 People complain about the incompetence of the Democratic party, but at least they managed to thin the field … Read More
The Nevada Debate
The remaining Democrats took to the Las Vegas stage last night to act out their murder-suicide pact. Everyone knew was at stake, and it showed. Here are some takeaways: 1. Elizabeth Warren won, and won big. It wasn’t even close. THIS was the Warren that so many of us love and support, and it’s the Warren that has been systematically … Read More
The Rise Of Bloomberg and The Nasty Democratic Primaries
Welp, as I said to a colleague, the Democratic primary is not shaping up as I wanted. A strong field has been reduced to a handful of flawed candidates. And leading that list are Sanders and Bloomberg. Ugh. Sanders is killing in the national polls, but that’s due in large part to his popularity in states that are going to … Read More
NH Primary Results
Sanders won the most votes in Iowa, even if he narrowly lost the delegate battle. He won the New Hampshire primary. His support among people of color has grown in polls, while his chief competitor for those voters, Joe Biden, has been fading in the overall contest. He has climbed to the lead in some national polls. And he is … Read More
Dem Debate Review
I didn’t watch it. I learned from watching the last few debates that ten is too many candidates to have on a stage at one time. Here’s the NY Times summary: Here are six takeaways from the debate: Warren draws fire, for a change For the first time this year, Ms. Warren was frequently called out and criticized by her … Read More
What Are We Waiting For?
Basically the Democrats want a video of Trump killing a guy with his bare hands, followed by a phone call to Putin where he says,”here is my bank account where you can the deposit the ten million we agreed to.” How cut-and-dried do things have to be before Democrats finally get some balls? It seems the Democratic political ecosystem, though, … Read More
Dem Debate: The Top Ten — A Wrapup
I did not the see the ABC Democratic Debate last night, so I have no original impressions. It was billed as a matchup between Biden and Warren, which struck me as a bit unfair to the others. But this seems to be a good substantive summary: The top 10 Democratic presidential candidates sparred on health care, criminal justice, gun control, … Read More
State Of The Dem Presidential Nominee Race
Look, this is a snapshot of a flowing river. Things are going to change. But generally, Warren’s star is on the rise. Sanders’s star is on the fall. But Biden remains on top among all demos except the liberal youth. It seems that if Biden fades, the biggest beneficiary is Harris.
Democatic Debate #2 Night Two
Well, a lot of people last night had a good night. Which means that nobody really stood out. To recap, here were the participants in last nights debate: Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet New York Sen. Kirsten Gillebrand Former HUD Secretary Julián Castro New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker Former Vice President Joe Biden California Sen. Kamala Harris Andrew Yang Hawaii Rep. … Read More
Debate #2, First Night: Thoughts
Last night, in order of their placement onstage, left to right: Spiritualist and author Marianne Williamson; Rep. Tim Ryan, D-Ohio; Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn.; South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg; Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt.; Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass.; former Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-Texas; former Gov. John Hickenlooper, D-Colo.; former Rep. John Delaney, D-Md.; and Gov. Steve Bullock, D-Mont. I was not bowled over and I watched about as much … Read More
Dem Debates #2 Begin Tonight
There are just too many candidates for these debates to be useful. I get that everyone should get a shot, but after this round, we need to whittle the field to a healthy 6 or 7. Not 25. I also don’t care for the draw (which was random). Tonight, in order of their placement onstage, left to right: Spiritualist and … Read More
Dem Debate Fallout
We are several days (including a weekend) following the Democratic debates, and the field is taking shape as expected. Warren and Harris are up; Bide is down. Here are some graphs: Post-debate CNN poll: 2020 Democrats 6/28-30 (change from 5/28-31) Biden 22% (-10)Harris 17% (+9)Warren 15% (+8)Sanders 14% (-4)Buttigieg 4% (-1)Booker 3% (-)O’Rourke 3% (-2)Klobuchar 2% (-)Castro 1% (-1)de Blasio … Read More
Frank Rich On The Dem 2020 Field
I endorse this: Over this week’s two nights of debates, the top 20 candidates in the Democratic primary have had a chance to introduce themselves to a national audience. Will anything they said winnow the field? I am happy to answer with a resounding “Yes!” I’ll take a minor risk and guess that as of this morning, the field has … Read More