Flashback: A Cautionary Tale For Today

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

From this PDF, a riveting blow-by-blow of the disaster that befell one network's Election Night coverage eight years ago. 2:15 a.m.: Fox News calls Florida for Bush, giving Bush the presidency. 2:16 a.m: NBC calls Florida and the presidency for Bush. 2:17 a.m.: The Decision Team completes its review of the Florida data and the apparent Bush lead of some … Read More

Final Predictions

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

  Also, in my local elections: Foxx (R) beats Carter (D) for House 5th District Perdue (D) beats McCrory (R) for Governor Ballot initiative predictions: Ban on gay marriages (ballot initiatives in California, Arizona, and Florida) — all defeated Arkansas ballot initiative to prevent gay couples from adopting babies — passed Colorado ballot initiative to ban all abortion — defeated South Dakota ballot … Read More

One Last Thing Before I Call It A Night…

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

I'm checking in early tonight.  Like I wrote earlier, I'm going to be an Obama poll observer tomorrow, which means my day starts BEFORE the polls open (at 6:30 a.m.) and end after they close (at 7:30 p.m.). But speaking of polls, one last thing… DO NOT LISTEN TO EXIT POLLS TOMORROW. They are notoriously unreliable for many reasons.   … Read More

RIP Madelyn Dunham

Ken AshfordElection 2008, In PassingLeave a Comment

Sad, and sad timing.  Obama's ailing grandmother died. Obama addressed this tonight in Charlotte: The morons at the Free Republic question the timing, some suggesting that she died last week, and the news was released now so that Obama could get the last minute "sympathy vote".  Pretty ugly, huh? Well, ugly is as ugly does.  Incidentially, the RNC, through the … Read More

Tomorrow’s Weather

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

Doesn't look like it will be much of a factor in battleground states, except in eastern NC (heavy Republican) and part of Virginia (mixed bag). Maybe also in parts of Montana and North Dakota, which have become swing states recently.

Don’t Buckle Up; We’re Not In For A Long, Bumpy Night

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

SPECIAL NOTE:  I probably won't be blogging the returns tomorrow.  I'll be polling site monitoring for the Obama campaign from 6:00 am until 7:30 pm.  Assuming I have any strength left, I'll be going to the local Obama headquarters to watch the results.  That said…. UPDATE:  Nate Silver probably has THE best "What To Watch For" article out there.  Read it. … Read More

How God Wants You To Vote

Ken AshfordElection 2008, GodstuffLeave a Comment

I really didn't think the Bible touched very much on American politics, but apparently I was wrong. The Reverend Rob Schenck (pronounced SHANK), a 15-year missionary to elected and appointed officials on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, and chairman of the Committee on Church and Society for the Evangelical Church Alliance, America's oldest association of Evangelical ministers, missionaries, institutional chaplains and … Read More

What’s Kristol Smoking?

Ken AshfordElection 2008, Right Wing Punditry/IdiocyLeave a Comment

Honestly.  Just when I think he can't write a more inane column, well dammit, there he goes and does it. Barack Obama will probably win the 2008 presidential election. If he does, we conservatives will greet the news with our usual resolute stoicism or cheerful fatalism. Right.  I'm sure that's how Rush will be on Wednesday.  Although, I'm not so … Read More

Owner Of Gun Manufacturing Company Forced To Resign…

Ken AshfordElection 2008, Gun Control1 Comment

…and why?   Because he's an Obama supporter. The namesake of Montana-based Cooper Firearms has been asked to resign as president of the company after he expressed support for Barack Obama. The company said it asked Dan Cooper, founder and part owner of Cooper Firearms, to resign as president after he voiced support for the Democratic Illinois senator's bid for president … Read More

Chart Of The Day

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

By Charles Franklin at Pollster.com…. click on it for a full size version This chart shows where McCain must gain, and where Obama must hold in order to get to 270. States appear in order of Obama minus McCain margin. Width is proportional to Electoral Vote. It takes 269 to tie, 270 to win. The yellow states are very close … Read More

Sarah Gets Pranked

Ken AshfordElection 2008Leave a Comment

This is a real phone call to Sarah Palin.  She thinks she's talking to French President Nicolas Sarkozy, but she's actually talking to two Quebecian DJs who pull pranks.